Harris Vs. Trump: Vice President, Former President Tied In Swing State, But One Candidate Dominates With Independent Voters

Chris Katje

August 29, 2024

A close head-to-head battle between Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris could come down to who wins more of the seven swing states in the 2024 election.

A new 2024 election poll of the swing states shows a close battle, with one candidate leading several key voter demographics.

What Happened: Harris has been enjoying leads in many 2024 election polls and is seeing momentum since officially being named the Democratic Party nominee at the Democratic National Convention.

A new Emerson College poll of voters in seven swing states shows the two candidates tied with each candidate leading in three states and one state showing a tie.

Here are the poll results:

Arizona: Trump 50%, Harris 47%
Georgia: Harris 49%, Trump 48%
Michigan: Harris 50%, Trump 47%
Nevada: Harris 49%, Trump 48%
North Carolina: Trump 49%, Harris 48%
Pennsylvania: Trump 48%, Harris 48%
Wisconsin: Trump 49%, Harris 48%

"The race between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump continues to be tight, within each state's margin of error," Emerson College Polling Executive Director Spencer Kimball said.

Back in July, Harris led Trump in Arizona, Georgia and Michigan with Trump leading Pennsylvania and the two candidates tied for Wisconsin. Only five states were included in that poll.

Did You Know?

Congress Is Making Huge Investments. Get Tips On What They Bought And Sold Ahead Of The 2024 Election With Our Easy-to-Use Tool

Why It's Important: While the two presidential candidates are tied among all voters in the seven states, there is a stark contrast when looking at several voter demographics.

For example, here is the breakdown of the seven states among Independent voters:

Arizona: Harris 51%, Trump 45%
Georgia: Harris 54%, Trump 38%
Michigan: Harris 46%, Trump 43%
Nevada: Trump 50%, Harris 44%
North Carolina: Harris 48%, Trump 46%
Pennsylvania: Harris 48%, Trump 40%
Wisconsin: Harris 52%, Trump 43%

The vice president leads Trump among Independent voters in six of the seven key swing states, with several of the leads coming with wide margins.

Harris also leads Trump in all seven swing states for the key demographic of voters under 30. The vice president has support of at least 54% among the voter demographic in all seven states and 60% support in five of the seven states.

The vice president leads Trump in the women voter demographic in six of the seven swing states as well.

For the male voter demographic, Trump leads in all seven states.

The seven swing states in the Emerson College poll together represent 87 electoral votes in the 2024 election. All seven of the states above were won by Biden in the 2020 election, with several of them flipped from Trump’s win in 2016.

Other swing state polls have shown similar close battles between the two candidates.

A recent Morning Consult swing state voter poll found the vice president leading 48% to 47% overall in seven key states. The vice president was leading Trump in four of the seven swing states (Arizona, Michigan, Nevada, Wisconsin), tied in one (Georgia) and trailing in two (North Carolina, Pennsylvania).

A new Fox News swing state poll for four of the battleground states showed Harris leading in Arizona, Georgia and Nevada with Trump leading in North Carolina.

Check This Out:

Lawmakers Made Huge Investments This Year. Get Tips On What They Bought And Sold Ahead Of The 2024 Election With Our Easy-to-Use Tool

Photos: Shutterstock

Recommended

Why Are These Strange "Accidents" Happening All Over America? - Ad

Red-Hot AI Stock "Disappearing" Soon? (Get In Now) - Ad

Kamala Harris May Seize This Cutting-Edge Tech -- Act Now - Ad

Elon Musk humorously commented on the recent endorsement of Kamala Harris by George Bush Jr.-era former Vice President Dick Cheney.

Mother Sells Taylor Swift Tickets Over Star's Endorsement Of Kamala Harris: 'I'm Gonna Shake It Off, And I'm Done With You'

A mother has chosen to sell the Taylor Swift concert tickets she had bought as a birthday present for her daughter in response to the pop star's recent endorsement of Kamala Harris.

A New Drug Set to Outgrow Zoloft and Metformin--Invest Now

A New Drug Set to Outgrow Zoloft and Metformin--Invest Now - Ad

A new breakthrough drug is predicted to hit 250 million subscriptions in the next SIX YEARS, according to Morgan Stanley. Even better, a tiny company - trading for only $7 - holds key patents on this new drug. But it won't stay under the radar for much longer.

Americans Split On Election Result Acceptance Between Harris And Trump, Here Is The Candidate They Think More Likely To Accept Voters' Verdict

A survey conducted by ABC News/Ipsos has shed light on the American public's confidence in the acceptance of the upcoming November presidential election results by Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump.

A key employee who called the Titan unsafe will testify before the Coast Guard

A key employee who labeled unsafe prior to its last, fatal voyage was set to testify Tuesday before U.S. Coast Guard investigators.

My No. 1 Oil Play for 2024

My No. 1 Oil Play for 2024 - Ad

Do you own oil and gas stocks? Or are you thinking about buying some? If so, you need to see my #1 oil play for 2024. But it's NOT oil stocks, futures, or anything you've likely heard about. Rather, it's an unusual way to potentially bank monthly income from the oil and gas markets.

Trump's Campaign Slapped With Lawsuit Threat After Jack White Calls Them 'Fascists'- 'You Should Lose Every Military Family's Vote Immediately!'

Jack White of the White Stripes has condemned Donald Trump's campaign as "fascists" and threatened legal action after an aide used a clip of the band's 2003 hit "Seven Nation Army" in a pro-Trump social media post.

Mary Trump Shares Video 'Letter' To Uncle Donald Trump, Also Says He Pushed Her To Ketamine Therapy In New Book

Mary Trump, the niece of Donald Trump, has made a public statement to her uncle through a unique medium.

America Can't Afford a Harris Presidency

America Can't Afford a Harris Presidency - Ad

New research from Jim Rickards - former advisor to the CIA - reveals shocking predictions about an "Election Meltdown" coming this November. Jim's showing all American patriots why an "Election Meltdown" could crash stocks by 50%, lead to the final demise of the dollar, even cause violent riots in the streets.

Trump plans to launch his sons' crypto business on Monday, 50 days before Election Day

WASHINGTON (AP) — Former President Donald Trump plans to deliver remarks next Monday about cryptocurrency and the launch of the company , a crypto platform controlled by the Republican nominee's sons Donald Jr. and Eric.

Harris Vs. Trump: Vice President On Top By Three Points, How Her Lead Compares To The 2020 Election At This Point In Race

A new 2024 election poll of likely voters shows a three-point lead for Kamala Harris. There is good and bad news from the poll for the vice president.

Forget AI, Imperium Is Expected to Grow 320,000% In 3 Years

Forget AI, Imperium Is Expected to Grow 320,000% In 3 Years - Ad

Three of the world's biggest AI companies -- Google, Nvidia and Intel -- have even partnered with my No. 1 Imperium company to get on this massive mega trend. The average investor hasn't caught on yet, but you can still invest in my No. 1 Imperium company for just $10 a share.

Campbell wants to say goodbye to the 'soup' in its name. It isn't the first to make such a change

NEW YORK (AP) — Campbell is ready to drop the soup — at least from its official name.

Jerome Powell-Led Investigation Finds Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic Breached FOMC Rules, Created 'Conflict Of Interest' Over Securities Trading Violations

Raphael Bostic, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, breached Federal Open Market Committee rules and Reserve Bank policies, according to a report by the central bank's Office of Inspector General.

Oil = Monthly Income

Oil = Monthly Income - Ad

Right now, there's an unusual $25 way to collect MONTHLY income from the oil markets. It's not a stock, bond, or anything you've likely heard about... But it's by far my #1 investment opportunity for 2024.

'FBI Raided My Homeâ€¦:' Melania Trump Slams FBI For Invading Her Privacy While Searching For 'Top Secret' Documents At Donald Trump's Mar-A-Lago Residence

In a recent video promoting her upcoming memoir, former First Lady Melania Trump issued a stark warning to Americans about the actions of the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) during a raid on her Florida residence in August 2022.

China's Chipmaking Investments Top US, Taiwan, South Korea Combined: What It Means For Nvidia, ASML

China invests $25 billion in chipmaking equipment, surpassing spending by South Korea, Taiwan, and the U.S. This could impact top chipmakers and suppliers like NVIDIA and ASML.

President Trump and Elon Musk Issue Stark Warning

President Trump and Elon Musk Issue Stark Warning - Ad

Both President Trump and Elon Musk are warning about something that could send the market down 50%, real estate down 40% and savings accounts down 30%.

Wall Street Eyes Strong Finish To The Week Despite Futures Suggesting Moderation In Tech Buying: Strategist Cautions Against Factoring Rapid, Steep Cuts Ahead Of Next Week's Fed Meeting

Now that the twin inflation reports are in the rearview mirror, U.S. stocks are hanging onto the slender optimism as traders look ahead to the Federal Reserve’s rate-setting meeting.

SEC Charges Galois Capital With Custody Rule Violations, Misleading Investors

SEC charges Florida-based firm Galois Capital for violating the Custody Rule and misleading investors about crypto assets.

Discover the $2 Stock That Has Institutional Attention

Discover the $2 Stock That Has Institutional Attention - Ad

With a $1.3B market cap and forecasts to grow 2X faster than the sector, dozens of investment banks are betting big. Strong leadership, cash on hand, and a $3 target make it a must-see.

Maryland awards contract for Francis Scott Key Bridge rebuild after deadly collapse

BALTIMORE (AP) — Maryland transportation leaders on Thursday approved a contract for rebuilding the Francis Scott Key Bridge several months after the 1.6-mile (2.6-kilometer) steel span of a massive container ship that lost power and crashed into one of its supporting columns.

The 2024 Olympics were a success for Paris but a calamity for some of its businesses

PARIS (AP) — Parisian business owners and hotel managers were promised a summer like no other. Millions of tourists would flood the French capital for the and , generating huge profits for Paris and its region.

Could You Retire on a Single AI Stock (Trading for Only $15)?

Could You Retire on a Single AI Stock (Trading for Only $15)? - Ad

Imagine what the perfect AI stock would look like...forefront of AI trend...virtual monopoly in its market... exempt from federal taxes. As you're about to see, this perfect AI stock does exist, and is currently trading for only $15. With just one investment, you could potentially set yourself up for massive financial gains.

Trump Vs Harris: New Polls Reveal This Candidate Is Outperforming In Swing States

The latest polls indicate that Kamala Harris is either leading or tied with Donald Trump in key swing states.

Apple Reportedly Plans To Switch To OLED For All iPhones Starting 2025, Not Just The Top-Tier Flagships

Apple plans to transition all iPhone models, including the lower-priced iPhone SE, to OLED displays by 2025, phasing out LCDs and excluding Japanese suppliers like Japan Display and Sharp from its handset business.

What If Kamala Wins? The 3 Words That Will Change Everything

What If Kamala Wins? The 3 Words That Will Change Everything - Ad

The same team that predicted Biden's downfall ... now warns of a new threat. Learn how to safeguard your future.

Stellantis Fires Back At US Dealer Council's Allegation Of 'Short-Term Decision-Making:' Carmaker Says 'Public Personal Attacks' Not The Way To Solve Problems

Carmaker Stellantis NV said on Wednesday that it takes "absolute exception" to the open letter sent by the President of U.S. Stellantis National Dealer Council (NDC) Kevin Farrish to company CEO Carlos Tavares, terming it a "public personal attack."

Trump's Attorney General William Barr Accuses Biden-Harris Admin Of Politicizing Cannabis Legalization, 'Ignoring Legal Standards, Scientific Evidence'

Casting aspersions on cannabis reform, Barr did not mention Donald Trump who recently said he supported weed reform in Florida.

Buffett's Big A.I. Secret (Handle With Care)

Buffett's Big A.I. Secret (Handle With Care) - Ad

A.I. is the talk of the town...But here's what they're NOT telling you. Former investment banking V.P. Ross Givens is letting the cat out of the bag. He's leaking a revolutionary new development, which changes everything. It will kick off A.I.'s massive second wave.

Nvidia ETFs Split In Pre-Market After Jensen Huang-Led Chip Giant Exceeded Q2 Expectations

The earnings report revealed that Nvidia had surpassed expectations for second quarter driven by strong data center revenue.

Kamala Harris To Unveil $50K Tax Deduction For Small Businesses To Counter Trump's Economic Policies As She Looks To Win Over Middle-Class Voters

Vice President Kamala Harris is set to unveil a major tax deduction initiative aimed at new small businesses, ahead of the 2024 election, marking a significant policy move in her campaign.

Elon Musk: Without This Company, "Civilization Will Crumble"

Elon Musk: Without This Company, "Civilization Will Crumble" - Ad

Did you know that there's an investment that will give you the opportunity to collect "royalties" every time Nvidia makes a chip? Ex-Wall Street CEO Dylan Jovine calls this "the easiest windfall from the AI revolution." Even ChatGPT founder Sam Altman says AI depends on this company's work...

Boar's Head closing Virginia plant linked to deadly listeria outbreak

Boar’s Head said Friday it’s closing the Virginia plant .

US-sanctioned Serbia official meets Putin, says Belgrade is an ally and won't join Western penalties

Serbia is a Russian ally and will never impose sanctions against Moscow or join NATO, the Balkan nation’s deputy prime minister said Wednesday as he met with Russian President Vladimir Putin.

The "Amazon Coin" -- To Be Bigger Than Bitcoin?

The "Amazon Coin" -- To Be Bigger Than Bitcoin? - Ad

Starting September 23rd, this tiny 3-cent crypto could partner with one of the biggest companies in the world... Amazon. Declassified video reveals "Amazon Coin" ahead of $27 trillion crypto revolution. One team of crypto experts have identified it as the most promising crypto of 2024.

France's Macron to visit Serbia with a possible deal to sell French warplanes in a shift from Russia

BELGRADE, Serbia (AP) — French President Emmanuel Macron starts a two-day state visit to Serbia on Thursday with the focus on the possible sale of 12 Rafale multi-purpose fighter jets to the country, which has maintained close ties to Russia despite its invasion of Ukraine.

Elon Musk Comments On Why They Want To Kill Trump, DeSantis Promises Florida's Own Probe

A second assassination attempt on Donald Trump was foiled by the U.S. Secret Service while he was golfing in Florida, with political figures from both parties condemning the incident and reaffirming the importance of denouncing political violence.

4 Cryptos Set to Outperform Bitcoin in 2024

4 Cryptos Set to Outperform Bitcoin in 2024 - Ad

Chris Rowe, the man who spotted 44 different coins that have returned over 100%, is now making the biggest crypto call of his ENTIRE career.... Because a powerful crypto event will trigger on June 24th... Sending hundreds of tiny cryptos soaring 5X, 50X, even 100X -- in just days.

Tesla CEO Elon Musk Wants To Bring Back Dogecoin As A Payment Option To Buy Company's Merchandise

Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:TSLA) CEO Elon Musk said on Friday that he would like to have the option of paying with meme cryptocurrency Dogecoin (CRYPTO: DOGE) reinstated for the company’s merchandise.

Trending Now