Harris Vs. Trump: Vice President, Former President Tied In Swing State, But One Candidate Dominates With Independent Voters

Chris Katje

August 29, 2024

A close head-to-head battle between Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris could come down to who wins more of the seven swing states in the 2024 election.

A new 2024 election poll of the swing states shows a close battle, with one candidate leading several key voter demographics.

What Happened: Harris has been enjoying leads in many 2024 election polls and is seeing momentum since officially being named the Democratic Party nominee at the Democratic National Convention.

A new Emerson College poll of voters in seven swing states shows the two candidates tied with each candidate leading in three states and one state showing a tie.

Here are the poll results:

Arizona: Trump 50%, Harris 47%
Georgia: Harris 49%, Trump 48%
Michigan: Harris 50%, Trump 47%
Nevada: Harris 49%, Trump 48%
North Carolina: Trump 49%, Harris 48%
Pennsylvania: Trump 48%, Harris 48%
Wisconsin: Trump 49%, Harris 48%

"The race between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump continues to be tight, within each state's margin of error," Emerson College Polling Executive Director Spencer Kimball said.

Back in July, Harris led Trump in Arizona, Georgia and Michigan with Trump leading Pennsylvania and the two candidates tied for Wisconsin. Only five states were included in that poll.

Did You Know?

Congress Is Making Huge Investments. Get Tips On What They Bought And Sold Ahead Of The 2024 Election With Our Easy-to-Use Tool

Why It's Important: While the two presidential candidates are tied among all voters in the seven states, there is a stark contrast when looking at several voter demographics.

For example, here is the breakdown of the seven states among Independent voters:

Arizona: Harris 51%, Trump 45%
Georgia: Harris 54%, Trump 38%
Michigan: Harris 46%, Trump 43%
Nevada: Trump 50%, Harris 44%
North Carolina: Harris 48%, Trump 46%
Pennsylvania: Harris 48%, Trump 40%
Wisconsin: Harris 52%, Trump 43%

The vice president leads Trump among Independent voters in six of the seven key swing states, with several of the leads coming with wide margins.

Harris also leads Trump in all seven swing states for the key demographic of voters under 30. The vice president has support of at least 54% among the voter demographic in all seven states and 60% support in five of the seven states.

The vice president leads Trump in the women voter demographic in six of the seven swing states as well.

For the male voter demographic, Trump leads in all seven states.

The seven swing states in the Emerson College poll together represent 87 electoral votes in the 2024 election. All seven of the states above were won by Biden in the 2020 election, with several of them flipped from Trump’s win in 2016.

Other swing state polls have shown similar close battles between the two candidates.

A recent Morning Consult swing state voter poll found the vice president leading 48% to 47% overall in seven key states. The vice president was leading Trump in four of the seven swing states (Arizona, Michigan, Nevada, Wisconsin), tied in one (Georgia) and trailing in two (North Carolina, Pennsylvania).

A new Fox News swing state poll for four of the battleground states showed Harris leading in Arizona, Georgia and Nevada with Trump leading in North Carolina.

Check This Out:

Lawmakers Made Huge Investments This Year. Get Tips On What They Bought And Sold Ahead Of The 2024 Election With Our Easy-to-Use Tool

Photos: Shutterstock

Recommended

Don't Buy Another Stock Until You See This - Ad

Discover the $2 Stock That Has Institutional Attention - Ad

Kamala Harris May Seize This Cutting-Edge Tech -- Act Now - Ad

Jeff Bezos built Amazon into an e-commerce giant by prioritizing customer satisfaction, symbolized by an empty chair in meetings representing "The Customer" as the most important person, which has significantly contributed to the company's success.

Point72's Steve Cohen Ends 40-Year Run As Trader, Will Continue At Hedge Fund To Advise

Steve Cohen, billionaire hedge fund founder, steps away from trading for Point72 to focus on mentoring and firm growth. His net worth is $14.7B.

The Last Time Gold Flashed This Warning Sign, the Market Dropped 80%

The Last Time Gold Flashed This Warning Sign, the Market Dropped 80% - Ad

Both President Trump and Elon Musk are warning about something that could send the market down 50%, real estate down 40% and savings accounts down 30%.

Pagers that exploded in Lebanon and Syria were made by a company in Budapest, Gold Apollo says

TAIPEI, Taiwan (AP) — Taiwanese company Gold Apollo said Wednesday that it authorized its brand on the but that another company based in Budapest manufactured them.

Peter Schiff Says Unlikely That Fed Rate Cuts Will Lower Borrowing Costs, Predicts Rising Mortgage Rates And Dollar Collapse â€” Suggests 100 Basis Points Rate Hike As Cure

Economist Peter Schiff has cautioned that the upcoming rate cuts by the Federal Reserve may not lower borrowing costs, according to a post on X on Monday.

Seven Unknown AI Stocks That Could Dominate the Next Six Years

Seven Unknown AI Stocks That Could Dominate the Next Six Years - Ad

The original "Magnificent Seven" stocks generated 16,800% over the last 20 years. But now a new set of AI stocks is set to take over. Alex Green dubs them "The Next Magnificent Seven." And he's arguing that just $1,000 in each could turn into more than $1 million in less than six years.

Shaquille O'Neal Reflects On Divorce, Fatherhood And Personal Accountability: 'I Was Lost. 76,000 Square Foot House By Yourself'

For many the topic of divorce and overcoming the great life obstacle can be tough. NBA legend Shaquille O'Neal shared his candid thoughts on the topic.

Bill Gates' Youngest Daughter Phoebe Celebrates 22nd Birthday With The 'Best Team': Microsoft Co-Founder And Melinda Celebrate Her On Instagram

Microsoft Co-founder Bill Gates and his ex-wife Melinda French Gates took to Instagram on Saturday to celebrate the 22nd birthday of their youngest daughter Phoebe Gates.

Could You Retire on a Single AI Stock (Trading for Only $15)?

Could You Retire on a Single AI Stock (Trading for Only $15)? - Ad

Imagine what the perfect AI stock would look like...forefront of AI trend...virtual monopoly in its market... exempt from federal taxes. As you're about to see, this perfect AI stock does exist, and is currently trading for only $15. With just one investment, you could potentially set yourself up for massive financial gains.

Russian President Says Ukraine's Use Of Long-Range Missiles Would Signal That US And NATO 'Are At War With Russia'

Russia, the world's largest nuclear power, is currently revising its nuclear doctrine and considering curbs on major commodity exports.

Pope Francis Criticizes Both Trump And Kamala Harris For Supporting Abortion, Urges Catholics To Vote For 'Lesser Evil'

Pope Francis expressed concerns over U.S. presidential candidates' positions on abortion and migration, urging American Catholics to vote for the "lesser evil" in the upcoming elections.

Top AI Stock (It's Not MSFT, GOOGL, AMZN or AAPL)

Top AI Stock (It's Not MSFT, GOOGL, AMZN or AAPL) - Ad

Ross Givens says the #1 artificial intelligence stock is NOT Microsoft, Google, Amazon or Apple, not even Nvidia. Nope -- his research is pointing to a tiny, under-the-radar stock that's trading for just a few dollars right now... And has lined up major partnerships with Honda, Netflix, Pandora, Mercedes Benz and many, many others.

Huge payout expected for a rare coin bought by Ohio farm family and hidden for decades

TOLEDO, Ohio (AP) -- Three sisters from Ohio who inherited a dime kept in a bank vault for more than 40 years knew it had some value. But they had no idea just how much until just a few years ago.

US widens indictment of Russians in 'WhisperGate' conspiracy to destroy Ukrainian and NATO systems

BALTIMORE (AP) — The U.S. Justice Department has widened its indictment of Russians in the so-called ‘WhisperGate’ malware attack aimed at destroying computer systems in Ukraine and 26 NATO allies including the United States.

Analysts Are Projecting "Safe-Haven" Stock Will Nearly Double

Analysts Are Projecting "Safe-Haven" Stock Will Nearly Double - Ad

Already up nearly 50% in the last 6 months this gold company has an analyst target nearly twice its current price. With 40+ investment banks and funds already invested it's no wonder this $1.3B company (trading under $2) is grabbing investor attention.

iPhone 16 Pro Vs. iPhone 15 Pro: Should You Upgrade To Apple's Latest iPhone?

The iPhone 16 Pro offers notable upgrades in display size, processing power, camera capabilities, and battery life over the iPhone 15 Pro, but the improvements may not be significant enough to justify an upgrade for all users unless these specific features are essential to them.

Utility ordered to pay $100 million for its role in Ohio bribery scheme

An energy company at the center of a $60 million bribery scheme in Ohio has been ordered by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission to pay a $100 million civil penalty for misleading investors about its role in the scandal.

4 Cryptos Set to Outperform Bitcoin in 2024

4 Cryptos Set to Outperform Bitcoin in 2024 - Ad

Chris Rowe, the man who spotted 44 different coins that have returned over 100%, is now making the biggest crypto call of his ENTIRE career.... Because a powerful crypto event will trigger on June 24th... Sending hundreds of tiny cryptos soaring 5X, 50X, even 100X -- in just days.

OnlyFans Beats Apple, Google, Netflix, And Other Big Tech Companies In Revenue Per Employee: Here's The Down Low

Content-sharing platform OnlyFans has come out on top against big tech companies like Apple Inc., Alphabet Inc.'s Google, Netflix Inc., and others in terms of revenue generation per employee.

Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates fast enough to deliver a 'soft landing'?

WASHINGTON (AP) — American consumers and home buyers, business people and political leaders have been waiting for months for what the Federal Reserve is poised to announce this week: That it's from a two-decade peak.

America's Slow Decline into Hell

America's Slow Decline into Hell - Ad

As Kamala Harris rises to power, her 3-word agenda threatens every American's freedom and financial security. Get the inside scoop and

Elon Musk Comments On Why They Want To Kill Trump, DeSantis Promises Florida's Own Probe

A second assassination attempt on Donald Trump was foiled by the U.S. Secret Service while he was golfing in Florida, with political figures from both parties condemning the incident and reaffirming the importance of denouncing political violence.

The Masters adds two hours of weekend coverage on Paramount+

The Masters and CBS are expanding television coverage next year by five hours, which includes two hours on Saturday and Sunday through the Paramount+ streaming service of CBS.

Oil = Monthly Income

Oil = Monthly Income - Ad

Right now, there's an unusual $25 way to collect MONTHLY income from the oil markets. It's not a stock, bond, or anything you've likely heard about... But it's by far my #1 investment opportunity for 2024.

Federal Reserve is set to cut interest rates for the first time in 4 years

WASHINGTON (AP) — Having all but tamed inflation, the Federal Reserve is poised to do something Wednesday it hasn’t done in more than four years: Cut its benchmark interest rate, a step that should lead to lower borrowing costs for consumers and businesses just weeks before the presidential election.

Boar's Head closing Virginia plant linked to deadly listeria outbreak

Boar’s Head said Friday it’s closing the Virginia plant .

Revealing Index Soars 49% - Smart Investors Are Moving In

Revealing Index Soars 49% - Smart Investors Are Moving In - Ad

The Gold Miners' Index is up 49% in recent months, surpassing even Gold's performance. Yet, ONE stand-out miner has even doubled Gold's historic rally over the last 6 months with room to run as analysts expect it to double from here! Don't miss the young company that has already captured the interest of 40+ investment banks.

Trump's Campaign Slapped With Lawsuit Threat After Jack White Calls Them 'Fascists'- 'You Should Lose Every Military Family's Vote Immediately!'

Jack White of the White Stripes has condemned Donald Trump's campaign as "fascists" and threatened legal action after an aide used a clip of the band's 2003 hit "Seven Nation Army" in a pro-Trump social media post.

E. Jean Carroll Case: Appeals Court Skeptical of Trump's Bid to Overturn Sexual Abuse Verdict

E. Jean Carroll's case sees an appeals court skeptical of Donald Trump's bid to overturn a $5 million verdict for sexual abuse and defamation.

Oil Surge Predicted...But Are You Ready?

Oil Surge Predicted...But Are You Ready? - Ad

Do you own oil and gas stocks? Or are you thinking about buying some? If so, you need to see my #1 oil play for 2024. But it's NOT oil stocks, futures, or anything you've likely heard about. Rather, it's an unusual way to potentially bank monthly income from the oil and gas markets.

Postal Service insists it's ready for a flood of mail-in ballots

U.S. Postmaster General Louis DeJoy assured state election officials in a letter released Monday that he'll work with them to handle their warnings of problems with election mail delivery during the primary season, while insisting that the Postal Service will be ready for the flood of mail-in ballots ahead of the November election.

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang Identifies $1 Trillion Opportunity Amid Generative AI Shift: 'Data Centers Will Be All Accelerated Computing'

NVIDIA Corp. is gearing up to seize a $1 trillion opportunity as data centers transition to accelerated computing and generative artificial intelligence.

Man Who Called Nvidia at $1.10 Says Buy This Now...

Man Who Called Nvidia at $1.10 Says Buy This Now... - Ad

In 2004, a man predicted Nvidia's rise. Now, he says a new company, which IPO'd in 2023, could soar like Nvidia. It signed a major deal with Apple for its AI tech in iPhones and iMacs. Could it be the next trillion-dollar company? See why he believes it's among "The Next Magnificent Seven."

Former Canadian fashion mogul Peter Nygard sentenced to 11 years for sexual assault

TORONTO (AP) — was sentenced Monday in a Toronto courtroom to 11 years in prison for sexually assaulting four women. The judge called the 83-year-old a “sexual predator.”

Trump plans to launch his sons' crypto business on Monday, 50 days before Election Day

WASHINGTON (AP) — Former President Donald Trump plans to deliver remarks next Monday about cryptocurrency and the launch of the company , a crypto platform controlled by the Republican nominee's sons Donald Jr. and Eric.

The No. 1 AI Stock of 2024 (Not Nvidia)

The No. 1 AI Stock of 2024 (Not Nvidia) - Ad

It's not Nvidia, Meta Platforms, Alphabet, or Amazon. But thanks to a recent major deal, an under-the-radar stock could become the No. 1 winner of the AI boom. "This company just teamed up with one of the biggest power players in the AI industry... yet you can still buy it for just one-twelfth the price of Nvidia -- the time to buy is NOW," says Marc Chaikin.

Elon Musk has often inflamed politically tense moments, raising worries for the US election

NEW YORK (AP) — Hours after an on Donald Trump's life over the weekend, took to his social platform X to post a thinking emoji and a comment that “no one is even trying to assassinate” the Democratic president and vice president.

Mark Zuckerberg Says He Is Done Apologizing, Reveals One Of The Biggest Mistakes Of His Career

Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg says he has grown tired of taking on too much ownership of problems beyond his or his company's control.

New "Living Missile" to Replace Nuclear Missiles

New "Living Missile" to Replace Nuclear Missiles - Ad

CBS News Reports: "It's an entirely new type of weapon." The New York Times Reports: "No existing defense can stop it." And one small company is building them for the Pentagon!

Why Is WiSA Technologies Stock Surging Premarket Wednesday?

WiSA Technologies shares are jumping premarket Wednesday, as the company acquires Datavault's IP and IT assets in a $210 million deal.

Trending Now

Mother Sells Taylor Swift Tickets Over Star's Endorsement Of Kamala Harris: 'I'm Gonna Shake It Off, And I'm Done With You'

Trump Vs. Harris: Election Forecaster With 9 Out Of 10 Accurate Predictions Makes Final Call, Says This Person Will Be 'Next President Of The United States'

Trump Vs. Harris: Vice President's Strong Debate Showing, Taylor Swift Endorsement Do Not Move Needle On Her Poll Numbers As Pollster Cites This Reason